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Marin Cilic reached the final in Tel Aviv last time out
Free tennis tips, best bets and analysis for this week’s tournaments: ATP Basel and ATP Vienna.
Marin Cilic winner of ATP Basel
1pt each way 12-1 bet365, coral, Ladbrokes
Cameron Norrie winner of ATP Vienna
0.5 pt each way 16-1 Coral, Ladbrokes
Next week’s Paris Masters, which is the eighth and final ATP 1000 event of the campaign, may be the priority, but that hasn’t stopped the stars coming out in force for this week’s tournaments in Basel. and in Vienna.
Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and reigning Vienna Open champion Alexander Zverev are the only three players in the world’s top 20 not in action this week.
Over the years, the Swiss Indoors in Basel have been the home of retired legend Roger Federer, who won his national title for the tenth time in 2019.
It was the last time the indoor hard-court event took place and while the local faithful may want to see Federer one last time, there is still plenty of quality in the line-up.
World No. 1 and US Open champion Carlos Alcaraz is the 7-2 favorite but struggled on his return to Astana earlier this month, losing in the first round to David Goffin.
Another three-week layoff may have helped Alcaraz’s cause, but there are bigger fish to fry in the weeks to come – the Paris Masters is followed by the ATP World Finals Tower – and its draw is not simple.
With Felix-Auger Aliassime and Pablo Carreno Busta drawn alongside the Spaniard in the top half, the bottom half of the draw might be easier to crack.
Holger Rune beat 2019 runner-up Alex de Minaur in the Stockholm Open semi-finals last week and the duo meet again in the first round in Basel, while second seed Casper Ruud has a lot to prove after early releases in Korea and Japan.
The quick turnaround of Rune and De Minaur could leave the door open for fourth seed Marin Cilic, who has looked back somewhere near his best this season and arrives in Switzerland fresh.
Cilic, like top seed Alcaraz, came out early from the Astana Open earlier this month. However, he was second to Djokovic in Tel Aviv before that and took eventual champion Alcaraz in five sets at the US Open in September.
Cilic should exploit a strong early draw in Basel and Britain’s number one Cameron Norrie could do the same in Vienna, where top seed Daniil Medvedev could be a vulnerable favourite.
The field in Austria is much deeper than that in Basel, but Norrie has a unique opportunity to reach at least the quarter-finals, where Andrey Rublev or Diego Schwartman could wait.
Four title successes in just over 15 months show the Briton now knows how to get the job done and there is reason to face Medvedev, whose only piece of silverware this year arrived in Los Cabos in August.
Norrie may have to beat Medvedev or Jannik Sinner to make the final, but the 16-1 quotes are appealing.
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FIRST PUBLICATION AT 5:02 PM, OCTOBER 23, 2022